Belmopan, Belize 28 September (Belizean.com) Debate in Belize over deteriorating investor confidence has intensified following a report by Carl Ross, Ph.d Managing Director of Oppenheimer and Co. – a U.S. based financial advisory group. Mr. Ross wrote an article entitled "Belize – Multiple Caution Flags" in the company's newsletter of September 23. With the Prime Minister ill and having to be flown to Florida in the U.S.A. on September 22 for what is officially described as a "medical checkup", local newspaper articles and call-in morning radio programs have been rife with heated debate about Belize's financial position.
In the Oppenheimer Report article Mr. Ross pointed to a drying up of funds from Taiwan which has helped prop up Belize's economy in exchange for Belize's vote in support of Taiwan's long quest to join the United Nations. Taiwan recently announced that it has now abandoned its membership bid and will presumably scale down its dollar-diplomacy program .
The Oppenheimer Newsletter article refers to the recent expropriation of the largest private
business in Belize, Belize Telemedia Ltd., the way this was conducted, and the installation
of relatives of the Prime Minister on its board of directors.
And finally, Mr. Ross alluded to the current government's apparent difficulties in servicing current debt. Mr. Ross referred specifically to remarks made by Prime Minister Barrow in his
Independence Day speech on September 21 when he stated:
"Certainly in terms of the economy, our present challenges loom at least as large as at any other time during our post independence existence. A peculiar combination of world circumstances, natural disasters, and the legacy from insane commercial borrowing and crony political spending has resulted now in national problems of unprecedented scale and circumference.
"Now it is clear that the straightened economic circumstances in which this country finds
itself is owed in part to the transgressions of rich club nations. But it is equally true that our problems have been terribly exacerbated by local sins, by the rot of the pre-2008 era.
"Exhibit one is of course the poisoned chalice of that one point one billion dollar super bond.
That is what is raiding our recurrent revenues, that is what is crippling our cash flow, stifling our fiscal place, and ripping from our hands the tools to deliver the goods and services to the people of this country."
In commenting on the Prime Minister's statement, Mr. Ross in a telephone interview broadcast in Belize stated that:
"Well from the point of view from the people who hold the bonds, bondholders and Oppenheimer is not a bondholder, we deal in bonds but we are not bondholders. But bondholders get very nervous ok, when they see a reference to a lack of a willingness to pay obligations or lack of a willingness to honour those obligations or some source of suggestion that the debt is too onerous."
Now there is more negative news for Belize as the respected telecommunication intelligence journal Telecoms.com today published a commentary on the Belize government's expropriation of Belize Telemedia Ltd. The article written by Tammy Parker and titled "Vastly Different Approaches To Competition" says in part:
"But potential investors will be wary of entering a country where the
government so wantonly takes command of a private business and places
the prime minister's family members on the board, whether for seemingly
good reasons or not.
"And Belize's government still wants individual
institutions and people to be limited to a stake in BTL of 25% or less,
ensuring that none has majority control. The ownership restriction is
likely to turn off potential investors, keeping major regional players,
such as America Movil, Cable & Wireless and Digicel, far from
Belize's shores."
The full article can be seen here: http://www.telecoms.com/14816/vastly-different-approaches-to-competition
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